Best time to see the northern lights in Jūrmala, Latvia

Updated • 19:57 UTC

Jūrmala gets the aurora on 1.3 clear nights in a typical year. September is the best month at 0.28 of them, and nights were counted at Kp 6 or higher, which the planetary index last reached on 22 March 2026.

Typical-year figures: a 1996–2026 planetary Kp record crossed with a 2001–2020 cloud normal. They describe a normal year, not tonight — the live Jūrmala forecast shows the actual cloud, moon and darkness right now. Check tonight's forecast for Jūrmala →

🌌 Clear nights a year

1.3

Fair — 1.3 clear aurora nights in a typical year Compare with Latvia

🌟 Best Month

September

0.28 clear nights in a typical year

🌙 Peak Hours

23:00-01:00

Magnetic midnight

⚡ Required Kp

Kp 7.0–9.0

Served for the live forecast; nights counted at Kp 6, last reached 22 March 2026

🧭 Auroral oval (model)

78.4° above the northern horizon

Model estimate at Kp 6

Month by month in Jūrmala

Astronomical darkness, the nights on which planetary Kp reached Kp 6 inside that darkness, the local cloud normal, and what the cloud leaves of the count.

Month	Astronomical darkness	Opportunity nights	Mean cloud	Clear opportunity nights	Moon-free
January	11.79h	0.36	83.9%	0.06	54.7%
February	10.15h	0.23	82.7%	0.04	54.7%
March	7.7h	0.65	73.8%	0.17	56.3%
April	4.01h on 98.6% of nights	0.36	61.6%	0.14	57.4%
May	No astronomical darkness	—	59.5%	—	—
June	No astronomical darkness	—	63.5%	—	—
July	No astronomical darkness	—	64.7%	—	—
August	3.27h on 66% of nights	0.33	64.8%	0.12	56.8%
September	6.68h	0.81	65.3%	0.28	56.6%
October	9.43h	0.98	72.9%	0.27	55.5%
November	11.39h	0.85	82.2%	0.15	55.2%
December	12.29h	0.29	83.9%	0.05	56.6%

May, June and July never reach astronomical darkness at Jūrmala, so no Kp value makes them viewing months and they are excluded rather than scored.

Opportunity nights are the whole 1996–2026 record. In the current solar cycle alone (since 2023), September has averaged 1.36 rather than 0.81.

September: 6.68h of astronomical darkness a night
September: 0.81 nights reach the Kp threshold inside that darkness
September: 65.3% mean cloud leaves 0.28 of them clear
September: 56.6% of those nights are moon-free

Similar timing: Bismarck , Liepāja , Ottawa

Higher-odds destinations: Fairbanks , Yellowknife , Tromsø

How these numbers were made

Evaluated at: Jūrmala, 56.968° N 23.7704° E — darkness and cloud are properties of that point, not of a region.
Darkness: Sun at or below 18° under the horizon (astronomical twilight), sampled every 10 minutes across every year of the Kp record and averaged per night of each month rather than on one representative day.
Geomagnetic record: GFZ Potsdam planetary Kp index, 3-hourly, 1996–2026 — 89,662 intervals, licensed CC BY 4.0.
Cloud: NASA POWER 20-year monthly climatology (2001–2020), parameter CLOUD_AMT. A monthly mean, not a forecast.
Moon: A night counts as moon-free below 35% lunar illumination while the moon is up.
Auroral oval: NOAA auroral-oval model, equatorward boundary near magnetic latitude 67 − 2 × Kp. A model estimate shown beside the measured record; it never replaces it.
Clear opportunity nights: Nights on which at least one 3-hour Kp interval falls inside local astronomical darkness and reaches the count threshold, scaled by one minus the monthly mean cloud amount.
Kp threshold: Nights were counted at Kp 6 or higher from the climatology's magnetic-latitude ladder; the Required Kp shown above, Kp 7, is the threshold the live Jūrmala forecast serves from a corrected magnetic latitude, one step apart.
Dataset version: Version 2026-09-07, computed offline from the closed record — the page is regenerated, not forecast.

Kp record: GFZ Potsdam (CC BY 4.0). Cloud normal: NASA POWER. How the live forecast is built: methodology page.

Frequently Asked Questions

When can you see the northern lights in Jūrmala?

September is the best month, with 0.28 clear nights in a typical year out of 1.3 across the whole year. Every month except May, June and July carries some chance. May, June and July never reach astronomical darkness, so no Kp value makes them viewing months.

What Kp is needed to see the aurora from Jūrmala?

Jūrmala needs Kp 7 or higher for aurora low on the northern horizon, Kp 8 for a noticeable display and Kp 9 for a bright one. The NOAA auroral-oval model puts the edge of the oval about 78.4° above the northern horizon at Jūrmala at Kp 6. That is a model estimate, separate from the measured Kp record.

Has the aurora ever been visible from Jūrmala?

Yes. In the 1996–2026 planetary Kp record the index reached Kp 6, the threshold these nights were counted at for Jūrmala, most recently on 22 March 2026. The Kp 7 needed for a noticeable display was last reached on 21 March 2026. Whether anyone saw it also depended on the cloud, moonlight and darkness of that night, which the Kp record does not carry.